Like many people I speak with, I’m “mentally bearish”. The stock market is rallying, the Nasdaq nearing is new highs, while retails sales and industrial production are plummeting and we have 36 million unemployed. None if this “gels” with me. But I’m a technical trader and I don’t want to fight the tape. So what […]
Tag: bear
The Simple Bear Market Predictor
In this post, we look into: the main concerns market players are contending with presently The yield curve, why it’s flashing a warning signal How to predict a bear market and recession Trump’s “Trade War” The current state of play in markets The markets We are mid-way through the year and 2018 is shaping up […]
The Most Important Number In Finance
The most keenly watched interest rate in the world is stirring things up. The 10-year US treasury (10yr UST) yield is arguably the most important number in finance. It is the de-facto global “risk-free” interest rate used in financial calculations across the world (the rate of return that theoretically bears no credit risk). The chart […]
What To Expect From The Stock Market In 2018
Heading into the end of the calendar year and many stock market pundits are sharing their guesses forecasts for where stocks will go in 2018. In this article I promise to spare you the “S&P 500 will close at 2450 on 31 December 2018” type of forecast. Instead, I’ll give you an outline what I […]