You’re All Clear Kid!

The stock market bull turned 9 The bull market in the S&P 500 Index turned 9 last Friday. Actually, the start date of the bull market is apparently open to dispute. One view is that it started in 2013, when stocks cleared the previous high set in 2007. Another view is that maybe it started in […]

Trend Change?

Markets are now operating under a different regime from 2016-17. In this post I discuss whether we are witnessing a trend change in the stock market and how I’m positioning my trading for this new regime. A trend change? February 2018 capped-off a streak of 15 consecutive months of positive performance for the S&P500 on […]

Stayin’ Alive In The Stock Market

The stock market correction is here Stock prices officially “corrected” last week. In most walks of life, the idea that something has been corrected typically ushers feelings of confidence and relief. This is yet another area where the stock market is different from real life! I wrote last week that I expected the S&P 500 to […]

The Most Important Number In Finance

The most keenly watched interest rate in the world is stirring things up. The 10-year US treasury (10yr UST) yield is arguably the most important number in finance. It is the de-facto global “risk-free” interest rate used in financial calculations across the world (the rate of return that theoretically bears no credit risk). The chart […]

How To Beat The Stock Market In 2018

In this post I’m going to discuss my approach – as a trader – to beating the stock market in 2018. Well…sort of. We’ll get to that in a minute. ETFs have been a no-brainer Conventional wisdom these days would have you believe that attempting to “beat the market” is a fool’s errand. Over the […]